A new Tropical Depression has been spotted some 1,960 km East of Central Luzon as of 10:00am today, October 28, 2020 and forecast to move generally westward or west-northwestward and enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning or afternoon. Once inside the PAR, the Tropical Depression will be given local name “ROLLY”.
Read Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2 below.
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY #2
FOR: Tropical Depression
ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 28 October 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next advisory to be issued at 11 AM Tomorrow)
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EAST OF CENTRAL LUZON MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
Location of center
(10:00 AM today) The center of Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,960 km East of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (16.3°N,139.9°E).
Maximum Sustained Winds 55 km/h near the center.
Gustiness Up to 70 km/h
Movement Moving West Northwest Slowly
FORECAST POSITIONS & INTENSITIES
29 October 2020 1,590 km East of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (16.2°N, 136.4°E)
30 October 2020 1,150 km East of Central Luzon (15.8°N, 132.3°E)
Severe Tropical Storm
31 October 2020 600 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte (14.6°N, 128.5°E)
01 November 2020 25 km West of Virac, Catanduanes (13.6°N, 124.0°E)
02 November 2020 150 km West of Subic, Zambales (14.7°N, 118.9°E)
Track and intensity outlook:
• Track: The Tropical Depression will move generally westward or west-northwestward towards the eastern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), then southwestward tomorrow afternoon through Saturday morning. It may enter the PAR tomorrow morning or afternoon. On the forecast track, the Tropical Depression will begin to move generally westward by Saturday afternoon while moving towards Bicol Region.
• Intensity: The Tropical Depression is forecast to intensify into tropical storm within 24 hours. It will continue to intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea and may reach typhoon category prior to landfall.
Hazards affecting land and coastal waters:
• The Tropical Depression is not affecting the weather over any portion of the country at this time.
• Once inside the PAR, the Tropical Depression will be given local name “ROLLY”.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to monitor for the next update on this weather disturbance to be incorporated in the Public Weather Forecast at 4 AM tomorrow and in the next advisory at 11 AM Tomorrow.